In Their Own Words
Humour
“If a person says that 2 + 2 = 5, and another person says that 2 + 2 = 3, the ‘moderate’ politician will decide that the truth lies somewhere in the middle and conclude that 2 + 2 = 4.5.”
He used this to illustrate his frustration with political compromise that ignored mathematical and scientific reality. It poked fun at the idea that “the middle ground” is always the rational place to be. He saw humour as a functional necessity for his work because it acted as a stress-release valve, a cognitive-breaker to “jolt” people out of mental ruts and as a social lubricant for activism. And to deal with the absurdity of a global society in which humans had built a system capable of destroying the entire planet, and then call it “security” which for Alan was the ultimate, dark cosmic joke. His humor was his way of pointing out that “The emperor has no clothes.”
Professional Activities
Alan was a pioneer and activist transitioning from the world of bench chemistry to the rigorous scientific study of global peace. Alongside his wife, Hanna, he co-founded the Peace Research Institute–Dundas (PRI-D) in 1962, transforming their suburban Ontario home into a global hub for quantitative conflict analysis. Central to his work was the Peace Research Abstracts Journal, a monumental bibliographical project where he applied systematic information management to organize thousands of studies, aiming to provide policymakers with a factual feedback loop for decision-making.
He was a staunch advocate for Peace Science, a discipline that rejected purely emotional or ideological approaches to activism in favor of empirical data. His most significant contribution was the Tensiometer, a mathematical model that used a nation’s Gross National Product (GNP) and military expenditure to predict its likelihood of involvement in war. By treating the international community as a cybernetic system, he identified runaway arms races as positive feedback loops that required scientific intervention. Through his leadership in the World Federalist Movement and his Peace Research Summer Schools, Alan mentored generations of scholars, teaching them to apply Game Theory and systems thinking to the redesign of global governance. Ultimately, his career was a quest to prove that peace is a measurable, engineered state rather than a mere absence of conflict.
Contributions To Canada’s Systems Thinking Literacy
Alan introduced Canadian academia to the concept that peace could be studied as a quantifiable, dynamic system rather than just a moral or political aspiration.
- Methods training: Through the Peace Research Institute–Dundas, he trained a generation of Canadian students and researchers to use cybernetic models, feedback loops, and regression analysis to understand social instability.
- Information systems management: By creating the Peace Research Abstracts Journal, he taught the importance of systemic feedback, showing that a global system cannot function without a rigorous, organized memory of its own successes and failures.
- The Tensiometer: He popularized the use of predictive mathematical modeling in Canada, demonstrating how economic inputs and military outputs create measurable systemic tension.
- Institutional advocacy: Through his leadership in the World Federalist Movement, he promoted the idea of Global Systems Design advocating for a more logical, hierarchical structure for international governance.
Contributions To Canadian K-12 Education
Alan’s advocacy helped normalize peace research, leading provincial education ministries to integrate global citizenship, human rights, and international cooperation into Social Studies curricula during the Cold War.
- High school learning resources: Publications from his Peace Research Institute–Dundas (PRI-D) provided senior high school teachers with accessible, data-driven supplemental materials for world-issues courses, history classes, and debate programs.
- Educating future educators: By legitimizing Peace Studies in Canadian universities, he helped train generations of post-secondary students who became K-12 teachers, bringing his emphasis on systems thinking into primary and secondary classrooms.
- Restorative school cultures: His focus on predicting and de-escalating structural conflict informed the early peer-mediation and restorative justice models adopted by Canadian school boards to manage student conflict constructively.
Contributions To The Global Systems Thinking Discipline
Newcombe’s contributions to the global systems thinking discipline lie in his radical application of cybernetic principles and thermodynamic metaphors to the field of international relations. While many systems thinkers focused on biology or management, Newcombe treated the global community of nations as a single, integrated “macro-system.” His development of the Tensiometer was a landmark achievement; it provided a quantitative method for measuring systemic strain, treating national military budgets not as isolated policy choices but as variables in a global equilibrium. This allowed for the early identification of runaway positive feedback loops that signaled impending systemic failure, specifically war.
Newcombe revolutionized the global information architecture of peace research. By treating the world’s fragmented knowledge as a disorganized system with high entropy, he created the Peace Research Abstracts Journal to act as a central governor for the discipline. This professionalized the field, allowing researchers globally to access a unified feedback loop of data. His work in Game Theory also shifted the global discourse from blaming individual bad actors to analyzing bad structures, proving that systemic incentives often force rational actors into irrational conflicts. Through these activities, Newcombe helped move systems thinking from a theoretical framework into a predictive, applied science for human survival.
